Consultant to Develop a New Version of the Economywide Trade Simulator GETSI for Bahrain
Organizational Context
The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) supports Arab countries in aligning trade policies with economic objectives. This role supports the Ministry of Industry and Commerce of Bahrain by developing a tailored version of the Global Economywide Trade Simulator Interface (GETSI). The consultant will work remotely to enhance economic policy design tools.
Job Purpose
The purpose of this consultancy is to develop a national version of the Global Economywide Trade Simulator Interface (GETSI) for Bahrain. This involves creating a tailored Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model on the GAMS-MIRO platform. The simulator will enable non-specialist trade experts and negotiators to conduct ex-ante economic assessments of policy changes, new trade agreements, and economic shocks. It will facilitate forward-looking analysis, supporting Bahrain's trade policy alignment with national economic objectives and long-term visions. The role contributes to enhancing data-driven insights for effective economic policy design.
Responsibilities
Aggregate the GTAP 12 database to agreed sectoral and geographical dimensions for Bahrain. Calibrate the global CGE model using the new database and perform statistical calibration for all integrated countries and regions. Conduct dynamic calibration of the baseline scenario for 2024-2035 using updated forecasts for GDP, population, labor supply, and productivity. Test the dynamic model's functionality through simulations. Prepare files for uploading the model to the GAMS-MIRO platform. Provide support for capacity-building sessions to the national team if required.
Work Experience
A minimum of 10 years of experience in developing and applying global dynamic CGE models using GAMS is required. Proven experience with the GTAP database is essential. Hands-on experience in calibrating and running global CGE models, with proficiency in GAMS, is necessary. Knowledge of MIRO interface design is desirable.
Skills
Proficiency in GAMS and its applications in global CGE modeling. Experience with the GTAP database. Ability to calibrate and run global CGE models. Familiarity with MIRO interface design is desirable. Fluency in Arabic is required; knowledge of English and French is desirable.